KARMA is a one-of-a-kind actuarial analysis of the major sports betting markets using data that stretches over more than a decade for virtually every sport.

KARMA is particularly unique in that it never predicts a score for any game. Instead, KARMA capitalizes on inefficient markets by predicting when the line (the collective wisdom of the crowd) will provide value for an underperforming team by failing to incorporate the inevitable regression to the mean.

First, we recommend you check out our Demonstration page to see how the methodology works. The carousels on this page illustrate how different sports coalesce around efficiency as each season progresses. There are often a few outliers each season, but our focus is on the overall trend towards efficiency. If the market is converging towards efficiency, we are likely able to find value by betting on the underperforming team. Our whitepaper provides much more information and details.

Our Results page shows you our Value Graphs for each sport and market over our entire dataset. We show you the average units per season over 1 to 2 decades of data!

KARMA has also built a publicly available Test Center for users to see where value exists and how it varies amongst the major sports markets.

Visitors are encouraged to use the free tool and purchase the Full Underlying Dataset with exact calculations and results transparently available.

When you're ready to use KARMA for your own betting ventures, you can check out our Picks page for upcoming games alongside stats to date for each sport and market.

These charts illustrate what regression to the mean looks like in real sports betting markets. Each line represents each team's efficiency entering each game of the season.

Since efficient markets regress towards efficiency as the end of the season nears, markets provide value for underperforming teams beyond some defined point in the season and beyond some defined level of team inefficiency.

For more detailed information and explanations, check out our Whitepaper which details the specific background, hypothesis, and methodology behind KARMA. We don't hide any of our work or provide misleading results like other sports betting websites - you know the ones we're talking about - that comb through noisy data and sell you a dream based on very small sample sizes.

Our Blog Thoughts section provides additional informal ideas about the sports betting world.

Have questions? Talk To Us.